Ages 9–10🧮 MathematicsBeing planted

Ordering Likelihoods

Compare the likelihood of different events and order them from least to most likely — including situations with unequal outcomes such as a bag with more of one colour than another, or a spinner with sections of different sizes — and explai…

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Question 1 of 3

Four different chances are given below. Which list puts the events in order from least likely to most likely? 1. Drawing a yellow marble from a bag that has 1 yellow, 4 red, and 5 blue marbles. 2. Rolling a 1 on a standard die. 3. Spinning a spinner that has a green section covering one‑third of the circle. 4. Flipping a coin and getting heads.

Question 2 of 3

Four different things could happen: A) Draw a red chip from a bag that has 8 red chips and 2 blue chips. B) Draw a green chip from a bag that has 3 green chips and 7 yellow chips. C) Spin a spinner and land on the red region, which makes up exactly half of the spinner. D) Roll a standard six‑sided die and get a 3. Which list puts the events in order from least likely to most likely?

Question 3 of 3

Four different chances are described: A) Pick a gold star sticker from a box that has 4 gold stars, 4 silver stars, and 2 bronze stars. B) Flip a fair coin and get heads. C) Roll a standard die and get a 1 or a 2. D) Pick a red marble from a bag that has 9 red marbles and 1 blue marble. Which list correctly orders the events from least likely to most likely, and also correctly names the event that is closest to an "even chance" (about 50% chance)?

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Skill names and descriptions include the Marble Skill Taxonomy © Generative Spark, Inc. (withmarble.com), licensed under ODbL 1.0 (database) and CC BY-SA 4.0 (content). Practice questions are GlowGrades's own, each checked by independent verifiers that must agree before a child ever sees it.